TEC Trajectory Study · Corrected zonation · 18 September 2026

How worship, staffing and ministries fit together

A congregation occupies several positions at once. Multiple services become common along an attendance range; full-time clergy also track financial resources; additional staffing and choir direction are better described using both. Their patterns overlap without forming one universal ladder.

The interactive controls have not started. The figures below show the initial view: 50% prevalence, ASA 50 and $100,000 in annual plate and pledge.

Where the patterns overlap

A line marks the selected fitted prevalence for one practice. Read its ASA and plate and pledge coordinates directly from the axes. Curved lines use both measurements; dashed lines are one-axis summaries.

Share of churches reporting each practice

Enter ASA and annual plate and pledge; commas and a leading dollar sign are accepted. Use plate and pledge in 2024 dollars, not total budget. The study uses matched available 2022–2024 averages.

Plate and pledge for your attendance

At ASA 50, your annual plate and pledge of $100,000 is below the typical range for churches with similar attendance in the whole study frame.

Comparison groupTypical amount at your ASATypical range: middle halfYour plate and pledge
Whole study frame$163,216$121,603–$210,113Below range

Typical amount means the fitted median at your ASA. The typical range is the fitted middle half of plate-and-pledge amounts at that attendance—not a confidence interval or a judgment about financial adequacy. Region and community are separate comparisons.

No ZIP entered: showing the whole study frame. Add your church’s ZIP for regional and six-category community comparisons.

Your position in the overall distributions
Comparison groupYour ASA: 50Your plate and pledge: $100,000
Whole study frame57.4% at or below yours; n=5,68942.7% at or below yours; n=5,689

Each percentage is the share of churches with a measurement at or below yours, including ties. These are observed distributions in the study frame, not practice prevalence or a quality score. ASA and plate and pledge use matched available 2022–2024 years; plate and pledge are in 2024 dollars.

Attendance on the horizontal axis and real annual plate and pledge on the vertical axis. Five named practices retain separate lines. Grey dots show anonymous measured attendance and giving combinations. The adjacent reading gives the fitted values at the selected location.10204080160320$20k$50k$200k$500kAnnual real plate and pledgeAverage Sunday attendance (ASA)

Showing 50% fitted prevalence. Selected location: ASA 50, $100,000. 1,299 of 1,382 attendance–giving pairs are within the drawn axes. 83 lie beyond the drawn axes.

What overlap tells us. At the same attendance, churches with different plate and pledge can differ in how often they report additional staff or paid choir direction. Enter ASA 50, then compare $100,000 with $200,000.

What a crossing does not tell us. Two lines meeting does not estimate the probability of having both practices. Dashed lines are marginal summaries; they do not hold the other axis constant. These patterns describe what churches report, not requirements for a congregation.

Plate and pledge includes the recorded general-support contributions in the Parochial Report field and is expressed in 2024 dollars; it is not total revenue. Attendance and plate and pledge use matched available positive-attendance years from 2022–2024. Axis spacing uses log(1 + value). Hover over any grey dot for its ASA, annual plate and pledge, and comparison with the typical giving range. Regional and community readings use your selected comparison groups; the dots do not reveal church locations. Grey dots show the measured context, not the answer base for every practice. Missing contour segments indicate limited local support.

Fellowship, outreach and specialized roles

Fellowship and outreach belong in the picture even when their presence does not create a useful size boundary. These aligned rows show how their patterns sit beside specialized staffing, welcome and governance.

The red dotted line marks your entered ASA across every row. Read across to the right for each practice’s fitted prevalence at that attendance; “Unsupported” means the evidence is insufficient there. The circles mark the selected prevalence crossing, not your church. Hover over the red line for an explanation.

Fitted prevalence0%25%50%75%100%○ Selected prevalence crossingBlank = outside support
Nine named practices share the same attendance positions. Darker petrol indicates higher fitted prevalence. Circles locate supported crossings of the selected prevalence. Right-hand values show the selected ASA.10204080160320At ASA 5098%97%60%66%27%13%7%25%56%Average Sunday attendance (ASA)

These are selected attendance-only descriptions, not a composite score and not financial-adjusted estimates. The color shows fitted prevalence across actual ASA; it is not a confidence interval or a transition-width band. Compensated functions may involve employees or other paid providers.

What we can report from this

Describe overlapping patterns. Describe the specific ministries, staffing and activities, with their actual attendance and giving ranges. Larger attendance does not imply that a church first acquires fellowship, outreach or belief at a particular rung.

Use contextual benchmarks. Compare a congregation’s staffing and activities with what churches at similar attendance and giving levels report. Familiar ASA classifications can be evaluated against these distinct patterns; no single cutoff captures the financial dimension.

Compare region, community, churchmanship or belief

Hover over a bar or dot for its meaning. A bar without a dot may stay above or below the selected percentage throughout its supported range; it does not mean the practice is absent.

Choose a context first, then a practice with supported comparisons. Grey spans show each group’s supported ASA range; circles mark the selected percentage. These are existing attendance comparisons. The main map retains the chosen attendance, plate and pledge or combined model for each practice. Churchmanship and belief remain distinct.

68 practices have at least two groups with overlapping supported attendance ranges. Other practices are omitted from this menu. Individual groups may still lack the required answer or attendance support. No 50%, 90% or 95% crossing is required for a practice to appear.

Childcare offered, including on request.

10204080160320NortheastASA 76.7Usable answer base: n=275MidwestASA 64.3Usable answer base: n=216SouthASA 57.2Usable answer base: n=488WestASA 69.9Usable answer base: n=185ASA at 50% fitted prevalence

0 admitted churches have unknown or withheld membership in this grouping, before answer/size requirements. Each row’s n is its usable answer-and-size base. Four Census regions; not ecclesiastical provinces or invented geographic groupings. These are exploratory group descriptions, not evidence of causal or statistically established group differences.

Source, definitions and reading limits
  • This is a selected synthesis of the checked corrected-data refit. It does not display every question, constitute a new church taxonomy or change the adopted model choices.
  • Full-time supervising clergy includes current or advertised appointments. Multiple services includes in-person and hybrid services; exclusively online services remain separate. Choir direction is distinct from having a choir, paying choir members or having a praise band.
  • Childcare includes care offered on request. The supporting fellowship row means regular events were reported; it does not mean monthly events. Governance means some reported distinction between governance and ministry organization.
  • The map’s marginal dashed lines use the selected one-axis financial-extension fits. Its solid contours use the selected additive attendance–giving fits. Intersections are not estimated joint-event probabilities. Choir and praise band are not treated as interchangeable.
  • Colored contours are drawn only inside source grid cells whose four corners pass the established local support rule. The lines interpolate the saved surface and may be approximate at sub-percentage-point resolution. Location readouts evaluate the stored models at your entered coordinates, subject to the existing support rules. The practice models are unchanged. Supporting attendance rows retain their existing connected-grid support bounds. The giving-for-attendance interpretation uses separate descriptive quartile fits.
  • The corrected childcare fit does not establish a supported 90% crossing. Absence of a line is not evidence that the practice never reaches that prevalence. “Nearly universal” refers to 95% fitted prevalence, never absolute universality.
  • These are exploratory associations, not causal effects, quality ratings or calibrated transition boundaries. No new confidence intervals have been added. Group differences can reflect composition and are not significance tests.
  • Print reflects the selected prevalence and location; closed context/method disclosures are omitted. Print pagination has not been certified.